April Championship and NAC

Div III Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROJAS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
2 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 SHAJI Karthik 100% 93% 59% 21% 3% -
3 KIM Aaron J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
5 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
6 UM Christian J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
8 AVRON Case B. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
9 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
10 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
11 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
12 TSAI Philip W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
14 CLAY Jacob M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
15 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
16 DURAND Leandro M. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
17 WU Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
18 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
19 WU Conrad J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
19 LI Nicholas X 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
21 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
22 HUDSON Jonathan R. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
23 KIM Eui Seok 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
24 DUBOEF Mason 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
25 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
26 TOMINO rafael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
27 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
28 HSIUNG Richie 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
29 CHUANG Kian J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
30 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
31 TSUEI Marcus 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
32 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
34 TSAI Max W. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
35 MURATA Akitoshi D. 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
36 GRISWOLD Doug 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
37 KEENEY Jeff 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
38 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
39 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
40 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
41 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
42 WOMACH Tristan 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
42 JIN Honggu 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
44 SHEIKH Arham 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
45 VLACK Felix 100% 64% 23% 4% - -
46 AMRANI David 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
47 MASON Zachary A. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
48 LIZARRAGA Sebastian 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% - -
49 WEIMER Grant 100% 33% 4% - - - -
49 WANG Sonny 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
52 MELCHIOR Donald L. 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.