American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, September 5, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YE Eric 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
2 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
3 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 GUAN Dennis 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
5 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
6 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
7 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
8 DUDNICK Christian 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
9 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
10 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
11 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
12 SILVA Steven 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
13 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
14 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
15 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
16 FANG Eason 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
17 SEOL Kyung 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
18 SHI Jeremy 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
19 PROUDNIK Anthony 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
20 STORER Julian 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% -
21 LIN Steve 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
22 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
23 CHEN Samuel 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
24 SHI Ivan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
25 TIAGI Daniel 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% -
26 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
27 WU Richard 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 15%
28 SUN Bill 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
29 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
30 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 70% 30% 7% 1% - -
31 GRAINGER Robert 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 2%
32 WOLF Gabriel 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
34 NAWAZ Taimoor 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
35 MORILLO Nelson 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
36 MORELAND Jack 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
37 KHADAR Keith 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
38 KIRSCH Alejandro 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.