American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Monday, September 5, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEE yat ching 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
2 BAKSA Frances E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 SANTA Bianca Estefania 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
3 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
5 PELLICIER Adriana M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
6 MOON Seojung 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
7 GASPAR Paula 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
8 DONGES Anna 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
9 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
10 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
11 FRAGER Soleil 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 1%
12 WONG Caitlin 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
13 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 28% 4%
14 FIGUEROA Mariah 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
15 DIAZ Nivia 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
16 MIHALIK Alva 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
17 RILEY Grace 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 2%
18 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 100% 95% 69% 23% 3%
19 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
20 CHIN Sia 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
21 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
22 WANG Zarina 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
23 FORDER Isabel 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
24 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
25 ROZET Alice 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
26 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
27 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -
28 TANGUAY Brooke 100% 96% 71% 26% 3% -
29 FERNLUND Helen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
30 WILFORD Madigan 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
31 RODA Thaleia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
32 FORTIER Adriana 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% -
33 DAVIS Shanna 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
34 DE SOLO Elizabeth 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
35 MARTIN Audrey 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
36 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.