September Friday Night Fencing

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, September 9, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 REED Allen 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
2 LAUER Michael 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
3 RIPLEY Ian 100% 90% 49% 10%
3 GUILFORD Corey 100% 98% 83% 39%
5 ARMBRUSTER David 100% 100% 80% 36% 6%
6 MENTELE Caden 100% 93% 58% 14%
7 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 99% 80% 34% 5%
8 GERACI Paul A. 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
9 CRAPNELL Daniel 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
10 KOZINSKI Allison 100% 77% 34% 7% 1%
11 MARCUS Peter 100% 96% 73% 30% 5%
12 ORGAN Jason 100% 53% 13% 1%
13 GLITCH Evelyn 100% 77% 32% 5% -
15 ATWELL Mattie 100% 82% 39% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.