April Championship and NAC

Div III Women's Foil

Monday, April 15, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
2 TAIRA Aya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
3 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
3 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
5 FELLMAN Sara 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
6 PAGES Melanie 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1%
7 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
8 KIM Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 20%
9 POWERS Kathryn 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
10 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
10 LUU Shanon K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
12 VOHRA Anusha 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 11%
13 THOMAS Aaria S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
14 COKER Bettina M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
15 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 98% 81% 32% 5% -
16 TRASKUNOV Alisa G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
17 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
18 GROGAN Hunter K. 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
19 WANG Catherine K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
20 WANG Yiran (Cindy) 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
21 KANG Jiyoon 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
22 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
23 SANDAU Ella 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
24 JACKSON Wilma S. 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 4%
25 BOLES Sophia 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
26 DE LA FOSCADE-CONDON Celine 100% 100% 96% 72% 26% 3%
27 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
28 YE Catherine 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
29 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
30 CRANDALL Kelly 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
31 WOODFORD Kalei E. 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
32 BRUNELLI Alessandra 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
33 PRESTWICH Paula J. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
34 RAYNER Rylie G. 100% 90% 50% 11% 1% -
35 ECKSTEIN Harriet A. 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
36 LIPPAI Sarah 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
37 SOBISKY Kari 100% 83% 28% 4% - -
38 FRAY-WITZER Ava 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.