Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 77% 26%
2 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
3 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
3 LIN Felix 100% 98% 78% 37% 7%
5 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% < 1%
6 WANG Max 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
7 SLEP Solomon 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 15%
8 KIM seoha 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
9 HALL Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
10 SO Preston 100% 100% 92% 63% 21%
11 CARD Seamus 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
12 XU Ivan 100% 62% 19% 3% -
13 BREUER Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
14 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 50% 7% - - -
15 PINKNEY Derek A. 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
16 TURECK Nathan 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
17 HU Andrew 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
18 RINALDI Savio 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
19 BHANDARE Niev 100% 81% 35% 5% - -
20 LEE Thomas 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
21 LEE Gordon 100% 36% 6% - -
22 MUNOZ Jonas 100% 99% 68% 17% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.