Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
2 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
3 WANG JiaQi 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
3 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
5 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
6 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
7 CHANG Norah 100% 86% 45% 11% 1%
8 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
9 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
10 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
10 YANG Shanzhen 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
12 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
12 WANG Emily 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
14 SCHMIDT Yehna 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%
15 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
16 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
17 MASHCHENKO Sabina 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.