Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 LONG Madeline M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 18%
3 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
5 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
6 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
7 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
8 HERNANDEZ Melany 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
9 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
10 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
11 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 18%
12 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 13%
13 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
14 YIM Rachael 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
15 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 100% 91% 53% 12% 1%
16 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
17 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 13% 1%
18 BABER Eshaal 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4% -
19 DONG Emily 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
20 MATHAI Rachel 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
21 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 100% 90% 53% 13% 1%
22 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 87% 35% 6% - -
23 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
24 LIU Long 100% 80% 34% 6% 1% - -
25 HWANG Chanel 100% 93% 58% 13% 1% - -
26 SHAH Suhani 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
27 GABAY Catherine 100% 97% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
28 SOHN Theo 100% 78% 33% 5% - - -
29 HE Katherine 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
30 LEE Alice 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2% -
31 WANG Kelsey 100% 13% 1% - - - -
32 CHEN Zixian 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
33 KRINGS Sasha 100% 33% 3% - - -
34 WANG hannah 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.