Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 AN Chihun 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
2 SU Landon 100% 100% 93% 61% 13%
3 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 92% 63% 19%
5 DECK Tyson 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
6 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
7 FENG Leo 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
8 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
9 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 7%
10 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 99% 87% 45% 9%
11 LIN Felix 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
12 JENSBY Jason 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
13 CLARK Keagan 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
14 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 97% 73% 25% 3%
15 WALKE Devin 100% 61% 14% 1% -
16 MOL Justin 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
17 FARAON Paulus 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
18 KIM Donghyeok 100% 91% 42% 8% -
19 ELLIOTT Reyhan 100% 37% 5% - -
20 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
21 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
22 KIM Taeho 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.