Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
2 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
3 LEE Anton 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 3%
3 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
5 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
6 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
7 AHN EZRA 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
8 PENG Yue 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
9 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
10 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
11 LAM Jayden 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
12 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
13 DOAN Christopher 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
14 YANG Gary 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
15 DELONG Joshua 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
16 FONG Henry 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
17 BHANDARE Veer 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
18 KONG Ethan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
19 KONG Brandon 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
20 KIM Julian 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
21 SUN Ethan 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
22 YOU Brandon 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
23 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
23 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
25 SREBRIC-LAMPKIN Zoran 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
26 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
27 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
28 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 98% 75% 32% 7% 1%
29 FENG Xinmin 100% 61% 14% 1% - -
30 CHAN Ian 100% 99% 83% 42% 11% 1%
31 RAMEY Daylon 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.