Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
2 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
3 LUO Amy 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
3 PATIL Amulya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
5 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18%
7 XU Serena 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
8 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
9 WRIGHT Madison 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
10 CUEVA Viola 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
11 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 89% 52% 13% 1%
12 MURPHY Katherine 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
13 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
14 DESAI Ela 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
15 KRISHNA Rithika 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
16 LY Hannah 100% 100% 89% 51% 13% 1%
17 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
18 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 1%
19 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
20 JEYOON Lauren 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
21 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
22 ILYAS Ayah 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
23 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
24 KANG Yenna 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
25 YAO Chloe 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
26 TOSH Audrey 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
27 LEVKOV Maita 100% 26% 2% - - -
28 LOZIER Grace 100% 92% 45% 10% 1% -
29 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
30 MIN Janice 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
30 LASCIALFARE Isabella 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
32 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.