Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
3 CAO Kayla 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
5 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
6 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
7 ZHANG Constance 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
8 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
9 OWEN Alexandra 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
10 KIM Sophia 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
11 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
12 MEITZEN Havah 100% 88% 49% 10% 1% - -
13 REILLY Carys 100% 79% 33% 6% - - -
14 LIN isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 5%
15 WANG Selina 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
16 SINGH Evangelina 100% 72% 26% 3% - - -
17 LU Zoe 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
18 ACHESON Lilianne 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
19 MOE Meila 100% 54% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.