Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
3 HUYNH Matthew 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
3 HUANG Anthony 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
5 LIU Alex 100% 89% 36% 6% - < 1%
6 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
7 DIAZ Matthias 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 3%
8 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 ZENG Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 22%
10 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
11 HUA Isaac 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
12 GAO Wesley 100% 96% 74% 31% 5% -
13 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 3%
14 PACK Lindsey 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
15 KUBBA Krish 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
16 SAFAI Bardia 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
17 LEVY Daniel 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
18 POPPE Andrew 100% 99% 88% 52% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.