The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Foothills Fall Fight

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Simpsonville Activity Center - Simpsonville, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden - - - - 3% 24% 73%
2 AMOROSO John - - - 7% 38% 54%
3 LAUSI Patrick - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 BLAND Ian - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
5 MODULLA Yathin 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
6 CAMPBELL Joseph 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
7 BIRT David (Dave) L. 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
8 RACHEL Dylan 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1%
9 KELLY Michael G. - - 2% 21% 56% 21%
10 BUI Henry 8% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
11 SAKO Ayrton (A.J.) 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
12 TIKHONOV Ilia - - 14% 44% 37% 5%
13 LE Kevin 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4% -
14 ARNOLD Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
15 SNYDER Ari - 2% 18% 43% 31% 5%
16 LIU Dylan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 2%
17 HUESKE David 1% 13% 40% 35% 10% 1%
18 COLLIER Baiden C. - 14% 44% 33% 8% -
19 SHELLABARGER Stephen 4% 23% 42% 27% 4% -
20 RICKMAN Ian 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
21 KRIEGER Jack 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
22 NELSON Cole 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
23 CUNNINGHAM Rowan 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 WILKENS Patricia A. 61% 35% 4% - - -
25 PAYNE John T. - 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
26 GEISSLER Maximilian 15% 44% 33% 8% - -
27 MCKINLEY Manley J. 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
28 GUTHRIE Jennifer 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
28 CATES Georgia 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
30 MILES Greyson Miles 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
30 FERRARO Nicholas 40% 44% 14% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.