The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Star Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 18, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fore Kicks Sports Complex - Taunton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Elaine - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
2 GORMAN Victoria M. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
3 TSUI Natalie - - 4% 19% 41% 30% 6%
3 LIU Zhi Jun - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
5 BULBA Daria - - - - 2% 21% 77%
6 LIU Yifei - 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
7 HILD Nisha - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
8 SADOVA Olga - - 7% 29% 43% 20% 1%
9 BILILIES Sophia - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
10 XIAO julie - - 3% 18% 43% 34% 3%
11 CHEN Ashley - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
12 MYAT Chloe 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 3% -
13 LI Jiaying 2% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
14 CHIANG Emily - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
15 DANK Dina - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
16 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
17 LAGOON Miriam 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
18 LI Angela 1% 7% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 JOHNSTON Lily - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
20 NAYAK Esha 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
21 CHAVAN Arya 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% - -
22 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
23 MALEK Zolie - 2% 21% 42% 28% 6% -
24 NEUMAN Ella 19% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
25 CHIANG Melissa - 7% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
26 MARGULIAN Maria 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% - -
27 LUKER Sophia - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
28 NAYAK Indra - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
29 SULLIVAN Siobhan 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
30 MCGRAW Sadie 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
31 BAINS Nandini 29% 55% 15% 1% - - -
32 LI Alexis 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
33 ONG Lauren 53% 41% 6% - - - -
34 ZHANG Emily 11% 42% 36% 10% 1% - -
35 ZHENG Ziqi (Jessie) 64% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.