Star Cup RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, September 18, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fore Kicks Sports Complex - Taunton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia	-	-	-	2%	13%	40%	46%
2	SPRINGER Sierra	-	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
3	HAFEEZ Hania	-	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	21%
3	SONG Angela	-	-	1%	8%	31%	43%	17%
5	FENG ge	-	-	-	2%	16%	44%	37%
6	PRIHODKO Nina	-	-	3%	17%	38%	33%	10%
7	LEE Scarlett	-	-	4%	21%	39%	28%	7%
8	SHU Youshan	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
9	SMUK Alexandra S.	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	23%
10	KUMAR Eva	-	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
11	RICHARDSON Meredith	-	4%	21%	35%	28%	10%	1%
12	CANNING Charlotte	-	-	2%	11%	31%	41%	15%
13	AZMEH nour	-	1%	11%	31%	36%	17%	2%
14	DEPOMMIER Isabelle	1%	12%	32%	36%	16%	2%
15	CAFASSO Natalya	-	-	6%	25%	39%	24%	5%
16	BENZAN India	-	-	3%	16%	34%	34%	13%
17	LI Suri	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
18	DENG Annie	-	1%	6%	25%	41%	23%	4%
19	DOUGLAS Marketa F.	-	5%	21%	36%	27%	10%	1%
20	CAI Yiyi (Phoebe)	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%	-
21	ZHENG Linden	3%	21%	38%	28%	9%	1%
22	HAN Dongying	2%	13%	30%	33%	18%	4%	-
23	MONOVA Lilyana	1%	10%	32%	37%	16%	3%	-
24	WONG Alexandra R.	-	1%	8%	27%	38%	23%	4%
25	HOAGLAND Sally	49%	38%	11%	2%	-	-
26	LI Fei	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
27	SANLIKOL Suzan	2%	22%	41%	27%	7%	1%	-
28	FENG Iris	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%	-
29	LEE Lavender	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	4%	-
30	PAN Angela	2%	24%	42%	25%	6%	1%	-
31	LI Olivia	3%	24%	45%	23%	5%	1%	-
32	KAUR Manroop	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
33	HUANG Ziyan	12%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
34	CHEN Alicia	2%	17%	37%	32%	11%	1%
35	CONNOLLY Natasha	36%	45%	17%	3%	-	-	-
36	BOWLING Lillian	5%	33%	38%	18%	4%	1%	-
37	ZOU You yang	64%	32%	4%	-	-	-	-
38	SONG Jaeyi	23%	46%	25%	5%	1%	-	-
38	NEFF Saya	10%	46%	35%	8%	1%	-	-
40	TIBBETTS Lily	71%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-
41	SUMMERER Jordan	71%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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