Star Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, September 18, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Fore Kicks Sports Complex - Taunton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SHEN Sophia H.	-	-	-	1%	7%	33%	60%
2	YANG Iris	-	2%	20%	40%	30%	8%
3	ORVANANOS Anice	-	2%	19%	47%	28%	5%
3	LEE Lavender	-	-	6%	30%	46%	18%
5	HO Brianna W.	-	-	-	6%	38%	55%
6	SONG Yuqiao Aprille	-	5%	21%	40%	29%	5%
7	SHEN Lydia	-	-	1%	13%	43%	42%
8	LIU Angel(Daying)	-	2%	20%	41%	30%	7%
9	CHEN Jia P.	-	-	1%	15%	46%	38%
10	TAN Kaitlyn N.	-	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
11	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	7%	28%	43%	22%
12	MILLER Naomi E.	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
13	CALISE Ella	-	3%	30%	50%	16%	1%
14	OUYANG Bridgette Z.	-	-	3%	24%	49%	24%
15	PAHLAVI Dahlia	-	1%	15%	38%	36%	11%
16	LI Rachel Y.	-	-	2%	21%	55%	22%
17	ZHENG Julie	-	1%	12%	36%	37%	13%	1%
18	ZHANG Alina C.	-	-	1%	10%	37%	52%
19	SHA Yi Ling	-	8%	48%	37%	6%	-
19	GU EMILY	-	2%	20%	45%	27%	5%
21	SHIM Grace J.	-	13%	50%	31%	6%	-
22	WU Julianna Y.	1%	6%	24%	40%	25%	4%
23	ZHOU Catherine	25%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-
24	YANG Lingting	9%	32%	38%	18%	3%	-
25	LIN Zhi tong	-	2%	25%	42%	25%	6%	-
26	YU Jane	24%	62%	12%	1%	-	-	-
27	ZHAO Aileen Y.	-	1%	16%	39%	33%	10%	1%
28	DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia	-	-	3%	18%	40%	33%	6%
29	NISSINOFF Alexandra	6%	26%	39%	23%	6%	-
30	OLIVEIRA Lavinia M.	1%	12%	45%	33%	8%	1%
31	FU Qihan	1%	10%	30%	38%	18%	3%
32	WANG Yudi	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
33	KAPOOR Saanvi	55%	39%	6%	-	-	-
34	ZHANG Selena	5%	63%	29%	4%	-	-
35	SA Milla	32%	56%	11%	1%	-	-
36	RICHARDS Ella	24%	55%	19%	2%	-	-
37	LAO Sophia	63%	34%	3%	-	-	-
38	MARKOVSKY Nina	14%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-
39	WANG Jasmine	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
40	COELHO Sofia	54%	42%	4%	-	-	-
41	LENZ Zoe N.	23%	58%	17%	2%	-	-
42	POWLEDGE Cora	65%	33%	2%	-	-	-	-
43	SHEAHAN Brianna	92%	8%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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