RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Foil #1

Div III Mixed Foil

Thursday, September 22, 2022 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
2 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
3 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
3 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
5 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
6 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
6 NISTER Jonathan 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
8 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
9 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
10 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
11 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
12 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
13 HARROCH Faustin 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
14 BIROAN Chaz 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
15 GUZ Anatoly 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
16 ROSSMAN Brock 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
17 BERKE Dan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
18 KIM Chloe 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
19 THOMSON Mitchell 100% 78% 25% 4% - - -
20 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
22 NAIR Supriya 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
23 LIU Grace 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
23 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
25 LIU Emily 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
26 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
26 WU Jingxiao (James) 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
28 CHO Jocelyn 100% 86% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.