Virginia Tech Open 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 1:30 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
2 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 18%
3 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
3 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
5 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
6 HENDERSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
7 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
8 WORRALL Cary 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
9 DICKENS Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
10 PAL Ian K. 100% 100% 93% 59% 17% 2% -
11 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
12 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
13 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
14 ZALEWSKI David 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18%
15 PALMER Winston 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
16 BOGART Drake R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
17 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
18 ANDERSON Alena 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
19 ASBY Will 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% - -
20 JOHNSON Alex 100% 96% 61% 20% 3% - -
21 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
22 WONG Ryan 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
23 HAYES Zackery 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
24 REN Yunyan (Tina) 100% 54% 13% 2% - - -
25 BADLANI Neel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
26 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
27 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
28 GREEAR Colin 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
29 KULKARNI Mihir 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
30 DUFFY Jared 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
31 BLANKS Jessie 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
32 SMITH Delaney 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
33 SHARP Leo 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
34 BYRON Heather 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.