Virginia Tech Open 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 11:30 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
2 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 21%
3 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 29%
3 SNIVELY Mark C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
5 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% < 1%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 39% 5%
7 KASPER Lucia 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
8 RAMMACHER Ryan 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
9 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
10 PAQUETTE Emily 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
11 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
12 ZIMSKY James 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
13 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 4%
14 UHRICH Reese 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% -
15 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
16 DUCK Parker 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
17 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 96% 70% 27% 3% -
18 PANDYA Parth 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% -
19 HOPSON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15%
20 MORRIS Luke 100% 82% 38% 7% 1% -
21 ELPURNOMO Aldrin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
22 COOPER River 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 4%
23 JOHNSON Alex 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 13%
24 MCINTOSH E'manuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
25 POOLE Katherine 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
26 BRUFFEY Thomas 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
27 MILLER Aidan 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
28 PISTONE Leah 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1%
29 GIBSON Karino 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
30 JONES Dylan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
31 WATTS Jason 100% 94% 67% 30% 6% -
32 STUCKI Marissa 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
33 CASTILLO Natalie 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
34 CRAIG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
35 CHERRY Samuel 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
36 SMITH William 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.