Pacific Northwest Cup (Y10, Y12, & Y14 Foil)

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Oregon - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
2 KUANG Vincent 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
3 MORENO Josefina 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
3 CHOI Lydia 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
5 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 99% 82% 43% 11% 1%
6 PESKIN Kepler 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
7 SHELTONOYLER Lula 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
8 ROBERTS Nikolai 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
9 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
10 KELLY Daphne 100% 96% 72% 32% 5% -
11 SAVAGE Angus 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
12 NEICE James 100% 99% 89% 52% 13% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.