Boston Fencing Club SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, September 1, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
2 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
3 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
5 OH Triton 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
6 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
7 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
8 WU Richard 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
9 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
10 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
11 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
12 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
14 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 2%
15 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
16 DOWNEY Baran 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
17 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
18 WANG Robert 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
19 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
20 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
21 ALLARDYCE Lachlan 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
22 BONETTI Brayden 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
23 LIU Lawrence 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
24 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
25 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
26 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
27 LEE Aidan S. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
28 ZHANG Derek 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
29 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
30 VAUGHN Jason 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% -
31 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
32 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
33 KESSLER Nathan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
34 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
35 ALLARDYCE Graham 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
36 NG Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
37 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
37 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
39 CAO Bryan 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
40 CHANG Yuyang 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
41 LIGH Checed 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
41 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
43 KUSHNIR Zack 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
44 IDRISSI Idris 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
45 GONG Jerry 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% -
46 O'HALLORAN Hugo M. 100% 91% 52% 10% 1% -
46 LAWSON Timothy P. 100% 27% 3% - - -
46 OH Aster 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.