Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
3 GU Sarah - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
3 XUAN Nicole J. - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
5 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
6 YAMANAKA Mina - - - - 3% 25% 72%
7 WU Fan - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
8 BUECHEL Holly M. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
9 CHEN Lefu - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
10 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
11 NGUYEN Kira - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
12 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 4% 22% 51% 22%
13 YU Nicole J. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 28% 3%
14 LI Alisha - 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% -
15 SHU Youshan - 6% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
16 SONG Angela - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
17 CERVENKOVA Katerina - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
18 SMITH Grace L. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
19 SCHMIDT Lori M. - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 11%
20 KUMAR Eva - 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
21 FURMAN Maria - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
22 LAWSON Marie A. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
23 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
24 HAFEEZ Hania - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
25 LU Junyao - - 2% 16% 41% 37% 3%
26 LONADIER Keira - - 4% 19% 41% 30% 6%
27 LI Fei 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
28 CHOY Ida 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
29 LIN Elaine - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
30 SMUK Alexandra S. - 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1%
31 CAFASSO Natalya 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
32 SMUK Daria A. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
33 DAVIS Jessica L. - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
34 POLANICHKA Nicole P. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
35 ASHER Valerie - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
36 REMEZA Alissa - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
37 LOPEZ MENESES Sofia - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
38 HONG Elaine - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
39 YANG Charlotte 28% 45% 22% 5% - -
40 FENG Ge - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13% -
41 GUJJA Misha - 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
42 SU Evelyn - 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
43 AZMEH Nour - 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% -
44 UNGURIANU Nika 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
45 GORDET Cristina G. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
46 BYK Laura 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
47 SONG Jaeyi 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
48 SAAL Anna 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
49 FAN Elizabeth 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
50 MUELLER Emma M. 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
51 POIRIER Ariane - 1% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
52 ZENG Katrina - 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
53 THOMAS Meagan R. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
54 MORIN Jenna 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
55 FOLEY Lauren 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
56 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
57 HICKS Grace 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
58 CHANG Ella 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
59 BOWIE Charlotta 1% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
60 BRISK Angelica A. 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
61 HUANG Ziyan 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
62 SANLIKOL Suzan 37% 49% 12% 1% - - -
63 PARSONS Leada 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
64 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 28% 58% 13% 1% - - -
65 MASTRONARDI Laura 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
66 PAN Angela 20% 46% 28% 6% - - -
67 BYRON Karen J. 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
68 JEANDHEUR Carole A. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
69 SIZER Courtney 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
70 LOFTIS Hunter 59% 38% 3% - - - -
71 ONO Melisa 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
72 MAY Courtney 97% 3% - - - - -
72 ANAR Yesugen 38% 48% 12% 1% - - -
72 ANAR Yesui 83% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.