Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
3 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
3 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
5 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
6 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
7 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
8 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
9 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
10 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 PERRON Robert 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
12 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
13 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
14 GOLDMAN Robert 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
15 STAMIS Kyle 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
16 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
17 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 6%
18 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 CHENG Brandon 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
20 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
21 DAHL Chris 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
22 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 98% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
23 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 93% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
24 MAO Jeremy 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
25 DRUZHININ Michael 100% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
26 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
27 LEBOWITZ Eric 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
28 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
29 SHU Richard 100% 38% 6% - - - -
30 MOULTON Ian 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
31 LIM Brandon 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
32 PODDAR Shameek 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
33 GUEVARA Alexander 100% 100% 84% 42% 10% 1%
33 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 35% 5% - - -
35 TERENTIEV Max 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 2%
36 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
37 KUMAR Shivai 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
38 MCCALL Aidan 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
39 SWIFT Owen 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
40 WEISS Toby 100% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.