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Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MUND Ruth V V V D V V V V V 3.6 4 +0.4
2 ZHANG Sophie D V V V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
3 CHIANG Emily V V V D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
3 ZENG Sarah D V V V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
5 YAN Ava V V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
6 NAYAK Esha V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
7 MONTORIO Lily M. V V D V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
8 NAYAK Anika D V D D D V V D 2.3 1 -1.3
9 YEN Natalie V V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
9 CHIANG Melissa D V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
11 ATTIA Jasmine V V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
12 FEIG Sela V D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
13 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina V D V V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
14 CHAVAN Arya D V D V V D 2.0 2 -
15 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. V D D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
16 DAVIS Jordan V D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
17 YAN Lena D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
18 JUDICKE Sophia D V V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
19 NEUMAN Ella V D V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
20 DAHL Naomi V. V V D D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
21 ZHENG Valentina V D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
22 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. D D V V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
23 LIM Alexa J. D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
24 WOTZAK Kaia D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
25 SHEN Emily D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
26 LAZO Emily D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
27 SHAW Guinevere L. D D D D D D 2.9 0 -2.9
28 MASTRONARDI Laura D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
29 KUANG LEIYIN D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.