Event Results
The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SHENG Katherine | D V V V V V | V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | JOO Natalie | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KAPRAN Anastasia | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | FIELD Elizabeth | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LI Han (Helina) | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | ZELDIN Nadia | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 7 | SIROTA Francis | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 8 | HARRIS Julia | D V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 9 | CASCONE Sophie | D D V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 10 | LIN Yunong | V V V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 11 | REZA Fukaina | D V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 12 | DIMATULAC Elise Ann | V V D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 13 | PEDERSEN Clara | D V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 14 | LI Savannah | D V V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 15 | YIN Chloe | V D D V D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 16 | LI Beryl | V V D D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 17 | KIM Claire | D D V V D V | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 18 | LIU Caydence | V D V V D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 19 | ROBERTS Anastasia | V D D V D V | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 20 | JUNCADELLA Lucy | D D D D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 21 | BO Iris | D D D V D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 22 | ZHANG Zoey | D V D D V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 23 | SHANG Arianna | D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 24 | ZHANG Caroline | D V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 25 | LIU Jenna | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 26 | VOROS Madeleine | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 26 | TSAI Triona | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 28 | LENZ Phoebe | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |