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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
2 LEE Camilla - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 WANG Victoria - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
3 SUN Zeyu - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
5 NEELAM Navya - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
6 QI Julieanne 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
7 SCHMITT Harper - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
8 KROPP Anne 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
9 IYER Ishana - 1% 9% 36% 43% 11%
10 TAM Connie - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
11 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
12 LIN Ariel - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
13 PARK Elli 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
14 FRANGER Macy - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
15 XU Serena - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
16 TISMENSKY Abigail 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
17 WORKNEH Lulit 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
18 STERN Savannah 4% 27% 46% 20% 3% -
19 TISMENSKY Avital 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
20 WANG Ziqiao - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
21 BI Michelle 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
22 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
23 BAILEY RaJohn 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
24 PEI Claire - 2% 17% 44% 31% 6%
25 CHEN Alina 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
26 JIANG chenxi 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
27 ELTERMAN Kate 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
28 KANE Alexa 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
29 WANG Cecilia 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
30 DOBROSAVLJEVIĆ Kalina 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
31 WU Michelle 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
32 SMITH Stephanie 31% 49% 18% 2% - -
33 OLUYOLE Isabella 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
34 NAPOLI Eleanor 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
35 YU Chloe 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
36 KANE Charlotte 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
37 KRAVCHENKO Tatyana 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
38 LI Chelsea 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.