Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 WYNN Kylie 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
5 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
6 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
7 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
8 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
9 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
10 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
11 PARK Lina 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
12 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
13 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
14 HAN Gian 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
15 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
16 GAO Anne 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
17 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 DENG Melissa 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
19 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
20 WANG Sophia 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
21 WANG CAROL 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
22 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
23 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 WANG Joanna 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
25 EVELAND Zoe 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
26 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
26 ZHANG Ivy 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
28 COLLINS Anna 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 4%
29 BAE Yooju 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
30 WANG DINA C. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
31 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
32 WANG Amabel 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
33 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
34 CROMWELL Keira 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
35 JIN Sophia 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
36 MALONE Ella 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
37 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
38 STONE Sydney 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
39 QUINTERO Camila 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
39 MORSE Katherine 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
41 DESERANNO Seren 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
42 TAN Dorathy 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
43 CHENG Emily 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
44 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
45 CAMPBELL June 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
46 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
47 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
47 CAO Kayla 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
49 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
50 LIN isabella 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
51 KHAN Leena 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% -
52 CHUNG Stella 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
53 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
54 SCHRANK Sora 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
55 HANNAH Abigail 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
56 KANG Marian 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
57 AADHI Hansika 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
58 SHTEPA Rada 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
59 WANG Selina 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
60 DIRKES Catherine 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
61 GE Lena Lan 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
62 JEANBAPTISTE Lauren 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
62 WILLIAMS Olivia 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
64 HOENEMIER Scarlett 100% 66% 23% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.