Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 21%
2 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
3 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
5 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
8 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
9 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
10 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
12 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
13 DENG David 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
14 TANG Royce 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2%
15 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
16 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
17 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
18 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 3%
19 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
20 ZHAO Ryan 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
21 HICKEY Connor 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
22 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
23 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
24 ZHENG Marcus 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
25 SUAREZ David 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 1%
26 XU Nathan 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
27 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
28 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
29 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
30 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 KO Caleb 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
32 KAGAN Noah 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
33 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 13% 1%
34 SCHRANK Edward 100% 99% 85% 48% 10% 1%
35 WANG Caleb 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
36 TACK Everett 100% 89% 51% 13% 1% -
37 OZAWA Taishi 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
38 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% -
39 PAYNE Lynas 100% 96% 68% 23% 3% -
40 HUYNH Matthew 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
41 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
42 DIFRANK Tae 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
43 GOGOI Kavi 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
44 ZHAO Jason 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
44 HONG Derek 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
46 ZHANG Hanson 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
47 DIFRANK Avery 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
48 NAIDL Micah 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
49 GE Felix Fei 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
50 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
51 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
52 CHASE Crosby 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
53 IBRAHIM Khaden 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
54 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
55 SHAH Aadi 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
56 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
57 CHAN William 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% - -
58 NG Gavin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.