Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
2 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
3 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
7 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
9 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
10 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
11 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
12 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
13 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
14 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
15 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
16 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
17 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 17%
18 HOENEMIER Scarlett 100% 66% 22% 4% < 1% -
19 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 HAN Gian 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
21 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
22 BAE Yooju 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
23 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
24 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
25 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
26 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
27 CAO Kayla 100% 99% 78% 39% 10% 1%
28 WANG DINA C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
29 CHUNG Stella 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
30 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 90% 49% 11% 1% -
31 ZHANG Ivy 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 97% 74% 24% 3%
33 JEANBAPTISTE Lauren 100% 94% 61% 16% 2% -
34 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 73% 26% 5% - -
35 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
36 HUANG Natalie 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
37 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
38 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
39 SMITH Samantha 100% 28% 3% - - -
40 DENG Claire 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
41 TEPMAN Zoey 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
42 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
43 GE Lena Lan 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
44 WANG Selina 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
45 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
46 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
47 LIN isabella 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
48 WASHINGTON KAILYNN ROSE 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
49 RIVERA Leahy 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
50 OS Danielle 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
51 BURTON Morgan 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.