NoVA Knights RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Friday, September 30, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
3 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
3 VICKERMAN Sofia 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
5 VICKERMAN Lilly 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 13%
6 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
7 LY Hannah 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
8 MURPHY Katherine 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
9 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
10 HU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
11 LOZIER Grace 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
12 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
12 FORDER Isabel 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
12 NOH Rachel 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
15 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
16 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
17 JOHNSON Merit 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
18 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% -
19 YANG Emily 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.