SoCal Scholastic Fencing League Individual Foil #1

Men's Middle School Foil

Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Chaminade College Preparatory High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YI William 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
3 BURRES Kenneth 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
3 CHEN Matthew 100% 49% 10% 1% < 1%
5 BRADY Benjamin 100% 93% 53% 9% - < 1%
6 YOUNG Luke 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
7 LE Jacob H. 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
8 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 79% 33% 6% -
9 OLLILA Gideon 100% 100% 98% 78% 28%
10 BELTRANSOLORZANO Jared 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
11 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
13 ESSER James 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
14 MURPHY Leo 100% 99% 78% 36% 7%
15 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
16 BOYAPATI Pranav 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
17 CUE Mateo 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
18 MAREAN Sebastian 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
19 ASADORIAN Nolan 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
20 KNIGHT Rollan 100% 94% 59% 16% 2%
21 CONRAD Thomas 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
22 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 99% 83% 41% 8% -
23 DUPART Sedgewick 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.