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Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 1:00 PM

City Beach Volleyball, Fremont - Fremont, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Chloe I.	-	-	-	4%	28%	68%
2	LENK Sophie	-	2%	18%	43%	30%	6%
3	BOLES Amanda X.	-	-	4%	24%	46%	26%
3	ZHANG Eunice	-	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	27%
5	PENG Serena	-	-	2%	10%	31%	40%	17%
6	YANG Audrey	-	-	4%	20%	44%	32%
7	ZOU Ella	-	3%	29%	47%	19%	2%
8	REN Kayley	-	-	4%	23%	46%	27%
9	LUH Mia P.	-	-	-	5%	23%	44%	27%
10	YUEN Elsie	2%	16%	38%	32%	10%	1%
11	DENG Melissa	-	-	3%	15%	35%	36%	12%
12	LUO Miranda	-	-	1%	8%	31%	42%	18%
13	SWANSON Alexa	-	-	3%	17%	44%	36%
14	MU Allison	-	1%	8%	26%	39%	22%	4%
15	ZHENG Zoe	-	7%	31%	41%	18%	2%
16	FUNG Sarafina	34%	43%	19%	3%	-	-
17	HO Addison	-	-	-	4%	20%	43%	33%
18	GUAN Adeline	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	17%
19	DESAI Esha	6%	30%	40%	20%	4%	-
20	CUI alivia	-	-	3%	17%	39%	32%	8%
21	MENG Annabel	-	4%	17%	34%	32%	13%	2%
22	PENG Charlotte	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	17%
23	GOEL Riyana	2%	15%	35%	33%	12%	2%	-
24	CARVAJAL Sofia	3%	19%	37%	29%	10%	1%	-
25	TUAN Sophie	3%	22%	44%	25%	5%	-
26	HAN Gian	1%	10%	32%	38%	17%	2%
27	THERON Zoe	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
28	ZHANG Gwenyth	-	4%	19%	35%	30%	10%	1%
28	LEVESQUE Brielle	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
30	HUGHES Olivia	57%	36%	6%	-	-	-
31	KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Zara	18%	40%	31%	10%	2%	-	-
32	TAO Ann	3%	21%	40%	28%	8%	1%
33	CHOI Sophie	25%	41%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
34	EDGEWORTH Paloma	-	2%	19%	45%	31%	3%
35	HOM Avery	10%	32%	37%	17%	3%	-	-
36	SAH Madeleine	87%	13%	1%	-	-	-
37	KIM Sydney	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%
38	CHO Karis	51%	38%	10%	1%	-	-
39	MALIUANAG Aerin	1%	58%	35%	6%	-	-
40	LUCAS Ava	12%	34%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
41	POEI Lauren	22%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
42	LIN Phoebe	14%	48%	32%	6%	-	-
43	CHANG Janelle	10%	33%	36%	17%	4%	-	-
44	TULYAG Sayda	15%	41%	33%	10%	1%	-
45	BENNYHOFF Naia	18%	40%	31%	10%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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