The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Athens Fencing Open 2022

Div III Men's Épée

Saturday, October 1, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Georgia Square Mall - Athens, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Boyan - - - 2% 11% 39% 49%
2 PENDERGRAFT Jacob - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
3 LIU Dylan - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
3 SWARTZ Emile - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
5 WEBSTER Davis - - 2% 16% 44% 32% 6%
6 MARSHALL Wesley - - 1% 9% 38% 45% 7%
7 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
8 PAKULATH Nihal 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
9 ILENRE Roni 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% < 1%
10 MESA Brian - - 2% 12% 35% 41% 10%
11 CORDOVA Colin - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
12 LY Gabriel 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
13 TUCKER Evan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
14 ROBERTS Quinton 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
15 SOTTILE Cole 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% - -
16 MCARTHUR Kemp 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
17 MAI Ryan - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
18 HERRERA Emmanuel - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
19 JONES Austin 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% - -
20 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
21 MCDANIEL Eamon 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
22 NICKERSON Edward 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
22 STONE Nicholas 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
24 LAWSON Cavin 2% 23% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
25 YAWN Joshua 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
26 HWANG Sungwon 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
26 JARMAN Robert 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
28 BERNSTEIN Leo 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.