The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Take Action

Event Results

Div I Women's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Friday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM Minneapolis, MN, USA
169 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 WASHINGTON Isis V V D V V V V V V V V V V 4.9 5 +0.1
2 LIU Charlene (Kai) V V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. D V V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
5 FALLON Kyle R. V V V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
6 WATRALL Christina V V V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
7 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. V V V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
8 KETKAR Ketki V V V D V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
9 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. V V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
10 PARK Faith K. V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
11 HURLEY Courtney L. V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
12 OXENREIDER Tierna A. V V V D V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
13 WANG Elizabeth V D V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
14 LIN Jessica Y. V V D D V V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
15 CHIN Isabella V D V V D D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
16 XIAO Ruien D V D V V D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
17 LEE Sumin V V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
18 BASSA Francesca A. V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
19 KHROL Jaclyn V V V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
20 NING Emma V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
21 DING Jiahe (Heidi) D V V V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
22 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. V V V V V D V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
23 MACHULSKY Leehi D V V V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
24 KETKAR Mallika V V V D V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
25 KHAMIS Yasmine A. V V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
26 CHU Audrey D V V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
27 MAZUR Yeva V V V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
28 LEE Natasha V V D V V V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
29 MEHROTRA Anya D V V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
30 JAKEL Sophia N. D V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
31 YIN Julia V V V V D D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
32 CHORNIY Kateryna V D V D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
33 YAO Melinda V V V V V V V D 2.1 6 +3.9
34 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
35 HURLEY Kelley A. V D V V V V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
36 MILLETTE Marie Frederique V V V V V D V D 4.3 5 +0.7
37 GAJJALA Sharika R. D V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
38 XUAN Nicole J. V V D V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
39 VERRET Alexanne D V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
40 JOYCE Michaela V V D D V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
41 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. V V V D V D V D 5.1 4 -1.1
42 KHARCHYNA Polina V D V V V D V D 4.0 4 -
43 SMOTRITSKY Mia D V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
44 GANDHI Sedna S. V V D V D V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
45 GAVRIELKO Nicole V D D V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
46 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. V D V V V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
47 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. D V V V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
48 ZHANG Victoria R. V D D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
49 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia D D V V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
50 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. V V D D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
51 LEUNG Natalie V D D D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
52 TYLER Syd V V V D D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
53 KOWALSKY Rachel A. V D D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
54 KIM Zoe L. D D V V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
55 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. V D D V V D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
56 BEITTEL Chloe F. V D V V D D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
57 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu V D V D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
58 PAPADAKIS Lily V V D D D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
59 CAPELLUA Mariasole V D V D V D V D 3.0 3 -
60 WU Amelia D V D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
60 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. V V D D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
62 NGUYEN Kira V V D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
63 SMITH Grace L. D D V D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
64 MAO Amy V D V D D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
65 NGUYEN Tallulah V V V V D V D 3.7 5 +1.3
66 KUZNETSOV Victoria D V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
67 LAN Alice S. V V D V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
68 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. V D V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
69 LIN Katie Y. V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
70 LEE Michelle J. V D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
71 LOMBARD Ella D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
72 GRADY Miriam A. V V D V V D D 5.1 4 -1.1
73 GU Sarah V V V D V D D 4.7 4 -0.7
74 LURYE Sarah D V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
75 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. V D V V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
76 PADHYE Tanishka V V D V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
77 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) V V V D D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
78 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) V V V V D D D 3.7 4 +0.3
79 ZIGALO Elizabeth V D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
80 ISERT Sarah D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
81 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. D V V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
82 HU Grace V V D D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
83 TOBY Natalia R. V V V D D D 4.2 3 -1.2
84 KUNJAN Lena R. V D D V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
84 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) D V D V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
86 BEZUGLAYA Varvara D D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
87 CHEN Lefu V V V D D D D 3.7 3 -0.7
88 BEI Karen D V V D V D D 4.1 3 -1.1
89 YANG Alisa D D D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
90 SHU Youshan V D D V D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
91 REID Anousheh D D V V V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
92 WITTER Catherine A. D V D V D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
93 SHEN Stephanie V V D D D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
94 LIN Waiyuk V D D V V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
95 FENG ge D V D D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
96 HESS Heidi J. V V V D D D D 1.5 3 +1.5
97 AI Amy V D V V D D D 1.6 3 +1.4
98 DOUGLAS Julia F. V V V D D D D 2.5 3 +0.5
99 YAO KATHARINE V D V D D V D 1.0 3 +2.0
100 KORKIN Alice D V V D V D D 1.1 3 +1.9
101 HUANG Lanlan V D D V V D D 1.3 3 +1.7
102 GUMAGAY Erika L. V D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
103 WANG Karen V D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
104 CANNING Charlotte D D V V D D 1.0 2 +1.0
105 PEHLIVANI Zara V D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
106 ELSTON Sophia V D V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
107 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. D D V V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
108 MYLER AnneMarie D D D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
108 KORFONTA Jolie D D V D V D D 3.3 2 -1.3
110 SONG Angela D V D V D D D 1.0 2 +1.0
111 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. V D D V D D D 3.9 2 -1.9
112 YOU Emily D V D D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
113 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. D D V V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
114 SPRINGER Sierra V D D D V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
115 MUN Brianna K. D D D D V V D 1.3 2 +0.7
115 STOECKEL Sofia I. D D V D D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
117 LONADIER Keira D D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
118 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. V D V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
118 GORNOVSKY Abigail V D D D D V D 2.0 2 -
120 LEE Olive D V D D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
121 CAROUSSOS Symi V D D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
122 KIM Jayna D V V D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
123 REID Sobia D V V D D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
124 CHA Eugenie D V D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
125 WONG Alexandra R. V D D V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
126 LIU Christina A. D D V D V D D 3.6 2 -1.6
127 HSIU Elizabeth D V V D D D D 0.9 2 +1.1
128 CAFASSO Natalya D V D V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
129 BINDAS Blodwen S. D D V D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
130 DESAI Meera P. V D V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
130 BOTNER Olivia D V V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
132 PINNAMANENI Drithi D D V D D V 1.3 2 +0.7
133 RUNIONS Emersyn V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
134 KIM Elizabeth Y. D V D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
135 LAVERY Chloe K. D D V D D 2.1 1 -1.1
136 LUO Ashley V D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
137 WEISS Talia L. D D D D V 2.5 1 -1.5
138 ZHENG Evelyn D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
139 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
140 SUN Renee R. D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
141 WU Fan D D D V D D 2.7 1 -1.7
142 CALDERA Lexi I. D D D D D V 2.4 1 -1.4
143 SMUK Daria A. D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
144 FILIPPOV Nika D. D D D D D V 2.2 1 -1.2
145 JAKEL Alysa C. D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
146 PRIHODKO Nina D V D D D D 1.0 1 -
147 MINOR Lindsey D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
148 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. D D D D D V 1.6 1 -0.6
148 SWENSON Nikita G. D D D D D V 1.5 1 -0.5
150 SENYUVA Su D D D D D V 1.2 1 -0.2
150 SU Evelyn D D D D D V 1.4 1 -0.4
152 KOLLAR Kincso D D V D D D 3.3 1 -2.3
153 ZHU Serene M. D D D D D V 1.3 1 -0.3
154 MIINEA Elena D D V D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
155 LI Zhenni (Jenny) D D D D D V 0.8 1 +0.2
156 YU Nicole J. D D D D D V 2.5 1 -1.5
157 DOUGLAS Elizabeth (Liz) L. V D D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
158 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika D D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
159 QI Jarynne Valerie D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
160 LU Samantha R. D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
161 LIN Ashley D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
162 SMUK Alexandra S. D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
163 LEE Yedda D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
164 VAN MARION Kirsten C. D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0
164 EDWARDS Auprell D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
166 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
167 LEE Olivia D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
168 HONG Elaine D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
169 STONER Shanrael M. D D D D D 0.1 0 -0.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%