October NAC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, October 7, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 4%
5 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 19%
7 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
8 YAO Ada 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
9 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
10 VO Bao-Vy 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 19% 3%
11 LIN Zhi tong 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 11%
12 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
13 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
14 MU Allison 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
15 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
16 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
17 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
18 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
19 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
20 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
21 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
22 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 98% 67% 25% 5% < 1% -
23 PAULUS Sloane 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
24 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
25 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
26 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
27 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 4%
28 REN Kayley 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11% -
29 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
30 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
31 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
32 SUN Emily 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
33 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
34 ZHANG Selena 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
35 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
36 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
37 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
38 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
39 YANG Emma 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
40 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
41 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
42 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 42% 10%
43 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
44 HAN Ashley 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
45 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
46 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
47 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
48 SHEN Emilia 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
49 YAN Noelle 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
50 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% -
51 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
52 LI Eleanor 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
53 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
54 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 6% -
55 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
56 HU Felice 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
57 BURBERRY Livia 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
58 FENG Grace 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
59 FETECAU Ilinca 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
60 OH Ceana 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
61 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
61 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
63 PENG Serena 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
64 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 2%
65 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
66 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
67 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
68 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
69 KO Claire 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
70 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
71 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
72 WANG Sophia 100% 98% 68% 21% 3% - -
73 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
74 ZHANG Ivy 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
75 PENG Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
76 YU Jane 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
77 LENK Sophie 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
78 LUO Miranda 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
79 GAO Anne 100% 97% 74% 30% 6% - -
80 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
81 ZHENG Zoe 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
82 DONG Angela 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
83 TUAN Sophie 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
84 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
85 GOEL Riyana 100% 35% 4% - - - -
86 DESAI Esha 100% 90% 46% 10% 1% - -
87 JIANG Chloe 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
88 WYNN Kylie 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
89 SMITH Taylor 100% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
90 ZHANG Alina 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
91 BULLARD Sydney 100% 93% 50% 10% 1% - -
92 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
93 LUH Mia P. 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% -
94 DESERANNO Seren 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
95 CROMWELL Keira 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
95 BERGEL Daphne 100% 88% 38% 8% 1% - -
97 SOLOMIE Sabina 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
98 CHOI Sophie 100% 12% 1% - - - -
98 PU claire 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
100 SHUSTA Lily 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
101 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 38% 5% - - - -
102 WANG hannah 100% 23% 1% - - - -
103 KANG Marian 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.