October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
5 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
7 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
8 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
9 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
10 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
10 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
12 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
13 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
14 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
15 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
16 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
17 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
18 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
19 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
20 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
21 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
22 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
23 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
24 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
25 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
26 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
27 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
28 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
29 OH Triton 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
30 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 14%
31 WANG Robert 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
32 SU Landon 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
33 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
34 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
34 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
36 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
37 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
38 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
38 HAO Anwen 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
40 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
41 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
42 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
43 LI Minghan 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
44 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
44 WANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
46 PAN Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
47 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
48 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
49 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
50 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
51 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
52 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
53 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
54 LUO George F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
54 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
56 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
57 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
58 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
59 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
60 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
61 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
61 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
63 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
64 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
65 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
66 REN James 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
67 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
68 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
69 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
70 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
71 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
72 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
73 LIN Maxim 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% -
74 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 3%
74 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
76 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
77 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
78 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
79 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
79 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
81 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
82 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
83 BYON Julian 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
84 BARRIOS Diego 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
85 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
86 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
87 LIU Kevin 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
88 HO Jacob 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
89 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
90 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
91 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
92 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
92 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
92 RAMANAN Govind 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
95 LUHAN Zachary 100% 98% 76% 34% 6% -
96 KILGALLEN William 100% 98% 82% 49% 15% 2%
97 HAN Edward 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17% 2%
98 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
99 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
100 VAUGHN Jason 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
100 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
102 LO Konnor 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
103 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
104 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
105 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
106 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
107 WANG daniel 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
108 BOSITA Carson 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
109 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
110 WU Richard 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
111 LI Yiwei 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
112 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
113 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
114 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
115 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
116 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
117 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
118 KANG Evan 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
119 FAYETTE Julien 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% - -
119 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
121 TU Leo 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
122 NG Jonathan 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
123 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
124 LEE Andrew 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
125 DALAL Rohan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
126 KIM Kendrick 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
127 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
128 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 74% 24% 3% - - -
129 WANG Max 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
130 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
131 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
132 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
133 MEHTA Krish 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
134 DUDNICK Christian 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
135 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
136 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
137 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
137 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
137 SHI Ivan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
140 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
141 VAID Luke 100% 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
142 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
143 AKS Ari 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% -
144 YAN Kevin 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
145 KATZ Ryan 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
146 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
147 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
148 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
149 SAHAY Kenji 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
150 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
151 ZHAO Lucas 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
152 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
153 ZHENG LEON 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
154 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
155 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% - -
156 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
156 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
158 WALKE Devin 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
159 TAUER Sam 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% - -
160 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
161 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% - -
162 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
163 WANG William 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
164 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
165 LIN Philip T. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
166 ARORA Pranav 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
167 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
168 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
169 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
170 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 97% 69% 27% 4% -
171 TSAO Oliver 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
172 HERRERA aragon 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
173 LIN Steve 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
174 MATTOO Surya 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
174 CHUNG Connor 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% - -
176 HWANG Jayden 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
177 BHATIA Ekam 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
178 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
179 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
180 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
181 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 66% 16% 2% - - -
182 SUN Bill 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
182 CHEN Samuel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
184 SO Preston 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
185 RODGERS Jacob 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
186 KIM Minhyeok 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
187 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
187 CHEN Lohen 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
187 KIM Evan 100% 40% 6% - - - -
190 LAUB William 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
190 LI Maxwell 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
192 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
193 FANG Eason 100% 92% 59% 18% 3% - -
193 WANG HongXi 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
195 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
196 VENU Ram 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
197 ZHOU James Y. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
198 CRAIG Andrew 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
199 MATTOO Deven 100% 35% 5% - - -
199 ANDRES Michael 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
201 BERA Enzo 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
201 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% - -
203 SIMMONS John M. 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
203 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 27% 3% - - -
205 NGO Maximus 100% 90% 49% 15% 2% - -
206 WONG Caleb W. 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
206 ALAVE Kyle 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
206 LIGH Checed 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
209 TUNG Ryan 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
209 POFF Kainoa 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
211 HUNG Samuel 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
211 GONG Gavin 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
213 AUTREY Adrien 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
213 GUREVICH Savely 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
215 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
215 FENG Weiting (Ryan) 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
217 HENDERSON Jack 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.