October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
7 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
9 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
10 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
11 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
12 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
13 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
14 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
16 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
17 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% < 1%
18 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
19 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
20 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
21 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 LACHMAN Antonina 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 4%
23 CHEN Jia P. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
24 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
25 CAULFIELD Jane 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
26 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 21%
27 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
28 JING Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
29 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
30 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
31 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
32 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
33 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
34 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
35 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
36 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
37 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
38 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
39 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
40 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
41 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
42 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
43 CHO Gracie L. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
44 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
45 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
46 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
47 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 2%
48 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 2%
48 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
50 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
51 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
52 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
53 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
54 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
55 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
56 YANG Iris 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
57 KOLODZIEJCZYK Malwina 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
58 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
59 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
60 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
61 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
62 EYER Hailey M. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
63 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 1%
64 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
65 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
66 HAYES Nadia 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
67 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2%
68 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
69 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
70 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
71 LUKINS Tianji 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
72 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
73 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
73 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
75 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
76 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
77 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
78 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
79 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
80 YU Lauren C. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
81 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
82 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 2%
83 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
84 JANG Kimberley 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
85 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
86 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
86 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
88 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
89 SUN Ruoxi 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
90 LI Sophia M. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
91 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
92 ZHENG Julie 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
93 LOCKE Savannah 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
94 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
94 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
96 ROY Layla 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
97 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 4% -
98 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
99 MEI Sarah 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
100 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
101 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
102 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
103 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 92% 57% 21% 4% - -
103 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
105 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
107 LEE Lavender 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
108 WANDJI Anais 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
109 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
109 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
111 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
111 PENG Amber L. 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
111 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
114 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
115 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
116 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
117 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
118 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
119 YU Seneca 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
120 CAO Ying 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
121 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
122 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
123 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 87% 46% 12% 2% - -
124 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 67% 17% 2% - - -
125 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
126 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
127 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
128 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
129 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
130 RENTON Samantha 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
131 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
132 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
132 WEBB Ella 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
132 GU Emily 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
135 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
136 MI Aileen 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
137 LUO Sandra J. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
138 HAN Crystal 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
139 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
139 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
141 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
141 KOROL Dana 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
143 SHIM Grace J. 100% 39% 6% - - - -
144 BURBERRY Livia 100% 28% 3% - - - -
145 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
146 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
147 LI Shuang 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
148 CALISE Ella 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
149 COOPER Piper W. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
149 SHENG Chuxi 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
151 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
151 KIM Rachel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
153 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
154 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
155 ZHANG Eunice 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
156 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 80% 30% 5% - - -
156 SHA Yi Ling 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
158 WONG Sophia M. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
159 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
160 BOLES Sophia 100% 63% 22% 4% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.