Event Results
October Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GERACI Paul A. | V V V D | V V V V | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 2 | REED Allen | V V V V | V V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 3 | BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. | V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | EVERHART Ryan | D D V V | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 5 | LAUER Michael | V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 6 | ADKINS Jerry | D V V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 7 | KRAVITZ Sarah | V V D V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 8 | GUILFORD Corey | V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 9 | HE Matthew | V D D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 10 | MILLER Jackson | D D V D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 11 | BELLINI Niccolo | D D D V | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 12 | ORGAN Jason | V D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 13 | ORGAN Drew | D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 14 | WILTSHIRE Kaden | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 15 | SPURGEON William | D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |