Jersey Clash RYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 16, 2022 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SONG Noel	-	-	3%	21%	47%	29%
2	RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	35%
3	TANG Terry	-	-	4%	24%	46%	26%
3	AKYAMAC Bora	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	3%
5	ZHAO Adam	-	-	2%	15%	49%	35%
6	CHO Xzander	1%	6%	24%	40%	25%	5%
7	LIU ERIC	-	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
8	WANG Brian	2%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
9	SRINIVASAN Vedant	-	3%	18%	36%	32%	10%
10	ZHEN Ethan	-	-	-	1%	8%	42%	49%
11	JIMENEZ Naveen	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
12	KAPOOR Aayan	-	-	2%	14%	48%	36%
13	ZENG Rick	-	2%	14%	37%	37%	10%
14	LEE Eugene	-	4%	20%	37%	30%	9%
15	JURMAN Therin	-	10%	43%	35%	11%	1%
16	XIE Jicheng	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	19%	2%
17	GULCHIN Mark (Yerma)	-	-	5%	21%	42%	32%
18	MARTIN Darius	-	-	2%	15%	42%	40%
19	GHEDINI Luca	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
20	BLACK Zachary	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
21	MOTOOKA Eito	-	-	2%	12%	34%	39%	13%
22	BHAN Amar	6%	25%	39%	24%	6%	1%	-
23	BAI Brian	30%	42%	22%	5%	1%	-
23	YANG Cooper	-	5%	21%	38%	29%	8%
25	HARRA Alexander	1%	7%	25%	37%	25%	6%
26	WANG Luke	4%	23%	41%	26%	5%	-
27	ARCE Andrew W.	1%	6%	22%	36%	26%	8%	1%
28	ZHUANG Chuanxuan	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
29	SHANNON Jack	3%	17%	36%	31%	11%	1%	-
30	CHENG Austyn	8%	28%	37%	21%	6%	1%	-
31	KOVACS Harrison	6%	31%	38%	20%	5%	-
32	WONG Jacob W.	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-
33	DHANOA Kian	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%	-
34	POLEBOYINA Amrit	11%	39%	37%	12%	1%	-
35	SUNDSTROM Wren	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
36	ZHAO Ryan	2%	17%	41%	33%	7%	-
37	HOU Gaven	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
38	ONIK Ari N.	3%	19%	36%	30%	10%	1%
39	TANG Royce	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	-
40	ZHANG ethan	3%	28%	50%	17%	2%	-
41	SICAT Justin	21%	43%	28%	8%	1%	-
42	YU Alan	5%	23%	36%	26%	9%	1%
43	KRZYWON Dylan	70%	27%	3%	-	-	-
44	ZONDER Benjamin	1%	14%	41%	33%	10%	1%
45	CHEN kenneth	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-	-
46	HOLLIS Sean	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-	-
47	WANG ZEYU	21%	42%	28%	7%	1%	-
48	UNGERER Henry	17%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
49	LIANG Haojia	40%	42%	16%	2%	-	-
50	COVELL Saunder	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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