Jersey Clash RYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, October 16, 2022 at 4:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	REMEZA Alissa	-	-	-	-	5%	28%	66%
2	RANDLEMAN Teresa	-	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	27%
3	GUJJA Misha	-	-	-	2%	18%	52%	28%
3	LEE Claire	-	-	3%	13%	32%	38%	15%
5	FURMAN Maria	-	-	-	2%	12%	41%	46%
6	TONG Lauren	-	5%	17%	31%	30%	14%	3%
7	BENZAN India	-	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	30%
8	NOVOJILOV Anastasia	-	4%	19%	36%	30%	10%	1%
9	LIN Elaine	-	-	-	1%	9%	44%	47%
10	PROFIS Liora	-	-	3%	13%	33%	39%	12%
11	BRUNSON Nile	-	-	2%	12%	32%	39%	15%
12	LI Fei	-	-	3%	12%	30%	37%	18%
13	YOU Isabel B.	-	1%	7%	22%	36%	27%	7%
14	PRESMAN Aerin	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
15	ELKHATEEB Fajr	-	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	1%
16	MEYER Rachel	1%	8%	24%	35%	25%	7%	1%
17	KAUR Manroop	1%	9%	30%	39%	18%	2%	-
18	SHANKERDAS Shreeya	5%	22%	35%	27%	10%	1%	-
19	COSTA Leah	1%	7%	28%	38%	21%	5%	-
20	JUN Bomie	-	6%	25%	37%	25%	6%	-
21	REKEDA Anna	3%	17%	33%	30%	14%	3%	-
22	CHANG Chloe	11%	33%	36%	16%	3%	-	-
23	SHAKIR Inaaya	1%	10%	27%	34%	21%	6%	1%
24	MUHAMMAD Skylar	-	4%	20%	37%	29%	9%	1%
25	BASRALIAN Azniv	-	2%	12%	36%	39%	11%	1%
26	MESSINA Sophia	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%	-
27	COLELLA Lauren	2%	13%	30%	33%	17%	4%	-
28	FOUX Abigail	5%	24%	42%	24%	5%	-	-
29	SAZONOVA Alexandra	1%	6%	23%	35%	26%	9%	1%
30	CASHMAN Amanda	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%	-
31	FANG Kayla	19%	42%	29%	8%	1%	-	-
32	MEYER Rebecca	5%	22%	35%	27%	9%	1%	-
33	YANG Charlotte	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
34	NEFF Saya	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
35	SATO Elyse	27%	44%	24%	5%	-	-	-
36	ANAR Yesui	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-	-
37	CHEN Alicia	10%	33%	35%	17%	4%	1%	-
38	MELLEBY Georgia	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-
39	ANAR Yesugen	4%	34%	40%	19%	4%	-	-
40	SHEIKH JOYA	5%	26%	38%	24%	7%	1%	-
41	LI Catherine	7%	34%	39%	17%	3%	-	-
42	SANTORO Chloe	12%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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