Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 9, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
2 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
3 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
3 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
5 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
6 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
7 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
8 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
9 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
10 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
11 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
12 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
13 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2%
14 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
15 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
16 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
17 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
18 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
19 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
20 OH Triton 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
21 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
22 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
23 LEONARD Charles 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
24 WASSERMAN Aiden 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
25 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
26 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
27 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
28 DVORIN Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
29 STURN Oliver 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
30 WANG Robert 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
31 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
32 DOWNEY Baran 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
33 SIMMONS John M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
34 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
35 PANDEY Neil 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
36 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
37 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
38 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
39 LAU Justin Y. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
40 SUBRAMANIAM Oliver C. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
40 KESSLER Nathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
42 OU Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
44 PILAT Matthew J. 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
45 BELZ Filip 100% 69% 17% 2% - - -
46 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
47 CAMPO Alexander P. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
48 TVERSKOY Sam 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
49 MILLER Guy 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
50 CHENG Hong 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
50 TANG Charles 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
52 DUCKETT Myles 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
53 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
54 VIME-OLIVE Liam A. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
54 HWANG Nathaniel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
56 RUSSELL Clark 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.