RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Epee #1

Div III Mixed Épée

Thursday, October 20, 2022 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
3 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
3 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
5 BIROAN Chaz 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 REED David 100% 99% 92% 60% 19% 2%
8 GUAN Isabella 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
9 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
10 LU Henry 100% 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
11 PATCHETT Bennett 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
12 CHANG Ella 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% -
13 BERKE Dan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
14 RABOIN James 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
15 HARROCH Faustin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
16 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
17 KNUDSEN Ayda 100% 97% 76% 40% 11% 1%
18 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 KIM Teo 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
20 BEYER Sascha 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% -
21 SHEN Yongen 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
22 RICHARDS Kimberly 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
23 NAIR Supriya 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
24 ALABASTRO Gabriel 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
25 MARSO Ellie 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
26 AMIRAULT Amy 100% 35% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.