Garden State Trick or Re-Treat RYC/RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 8:45 AM

Sportsplex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
3 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
3 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
5 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 RASO Olivia 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
8 MEYER Claudia 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 1%
9 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
10 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 100% 99% 83% 44% 10%
11 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
12 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
13 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
14 FENG Grace 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
15 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 90% 56% 17% 1%
16 PARK Caitlyn 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
17 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
18 LEVY Avery 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
19 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 47% 6% - < 1% -
20 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
21 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
22 ZHANG Selena 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
23 PAULUS Isabella 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
24 LI Eleanor 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% - -
25 WANG Yudi 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
26 CHEN Jasmine 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
27 LIU Long 100% 44% 7% - - -
28 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 100% 93% 56% 17% 2%
29 BERGEL Daphne 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
30 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
31 YU Jane 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
32 MI Anning 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 4%
33 LIN Victoria T. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
34 LAPPER Whitney P. 100% 84% 34% 6% 1% -
35 WANG Reese 100% 72% 18% 2% - -
36 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 27% 3% - - -
37 FREEBORN Trysta 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.