Bay Cup at WBFC: XF1, WF1

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 2:30 PM

West Berkeley Fencing Club - Berkeley, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% -
2 LI Shuang 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
3 CRACRAFT John R. 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
3 GORDON William L. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
5 PETERSON Lucas 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% < 1% -
6 ESTELL Oscar M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
7 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
8 LAM Nicolas 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
9 RUBIN Max 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% < 1%
10 DEW Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 74% 9%
11 SMITH Grant D. 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
12 PENG Serena 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
13 LUONG Allen 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
14 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
15 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
16 EDWARDS Darby 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
17 SCOTT Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
18 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
19 ACH Desmond 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.