The Ohio State University Open

Senior Women's Foil

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 8:30 AM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	MYRONIUK Dariia	-	-	-	-	9%	45%	45%
2	LEE Alina	-	-	-	-	3%	42%	54%
3	FREEDMAN Miranda W.	-	-	-	5%	26%	46%	23%
3	GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa	-	-	-	7%	45%	41%	7%
5	GRIFFIN Emma G.	-	-	-	-	5%	33%	61%
6	DRAGNE Alexis D.	-	-	3%	21%	53%	21%	2%
7	STUTCHBURY Carolina J.	-	-	-	-	5%	33%	62%
8	SENIC Adeline	-	-	-	3%	51%	39%	7%
9	KORABLINA Aleksandra	-	-	-	-	8%	56%	35%
10	ZHAO Sophie L.	-	-	2%	15%	45%	32%	6%
11	MANCINI Ludovica	-	-	-	-	9%	47%	44%
12	ANDREYENKA Yana	-	-	-	4%	22%	45%	29%
13	HAYES Alyssa R.	4%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%	-
14	VIANNA Gabriella	-	-	4%	17%	37%	33%	8%
15	NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi"	-	-	-	1%	17%	50%	32%
16	ANDREYENKA Hanna	-	-	-	-	20%	53%	27%
17	HALL Velma	-	-	-	6%	38%	46%	11%
18	AYUPOVA Ameliya	-	1%	11%	39%	44%	6%	-
19	PHILLIPS Hattie	-	10%	40%	40%	10%	1%	-
20	HENDRIAN Rachel M.	-	3%	16%	36%	33%	11%	1%
21	HIRSCH Alyssa J.	-	2%	22%	59%	15%	1%	-
22	BAWA Sahana	16%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
23	BASSIK Eva	1%	15%	47%	36%	1%	-	-
24	MUSTO Isabella	2%	17%	47%	33%	1%	-	-
25	ZHANG Rongrui	2%	15%	40%	35%	8%	1%	-
26	DE LAPEROUSE Nina	40%	46%	13%	1%	-	-	-
27	LEE Fiona E.	-	4%	26%	47%	21%	1%	-
28	ZHUANG Sophie	-	8%	42%	41%	8%	-	-
29	HEISER Anna M.	3%	18%	37%	31%	11%	1%	-
30	ROMANO Megan C.	8%	53%	33%	6%	-	-	-
31	KELBLEY Newt J.	3%	21%	45%	26%	5%	-	-
32	GUILLEN Mikaela	24%	48%	23%	4%	-	-	-
33	LEE Claire L.	7%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-	-
34	YASUZAWA Abby	64%	32%	4%	-	-	-	-
35	TIERNEY Eleanor	10%	32%	36%	18%	4%	-	-
36	PARA Akshaya	59%	35%	5%	-	-	-	-
37	EUH Jayme	46%	42%	11%	1%	-	-	-
38	LEMASTERS Elise M.	22%	52%	23%	3%	-	-	-
39	LUU Tristan	6%	35%	53%	6%	-	-	-
40	ANTAL Chandini	17%	56%	24%	3%	-	-	-
41	LONGO Gabriella	18%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
41	MCINTYRE Sydney	15%	43%	35%	7%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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