The Ohio State University Open

Senior Women's Saber

Saturday, October 29, 2022 at 9:45 AM

French Field House - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	ANDREYEVA Darya	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
2	TOLEDO AMES Julieta Isabel	-	-	-	-	3%	97%
3	BUSTAMANTE Evelin	-	-	-	7%	39%	54%
3	PERRIER Eleonore	-	-	1%	7%	33%	60%
5	ARNIPALLI Hamsika	-	1%	9%	31%	42%	16%
6	LARIMER Katherine E.	-	-	3%	36%	50%	10%
7	FAN Grace	1%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%
8	BROWN Delaney	15%	40%	33%	11%	2%	-
9	GLUCK Myriam	1%	8%	35%	39%	16%	2%
10	VANCE Beth S.	-	5%	21%	39%	30%	4%
11	SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara	-	-	2%	15%	44%	39%
11	WANG Gloria	-	6%	27%	46%	21%	-
13	UDOH Tessy	-	3%	18%	40%	31%	7%
14	SCHICK Veronica	2%	16%	43%	32%	6%	-
15	SIDDIQUI Reem	1%	8%	31%	41%	19%	2%
16	HORMEL Molly	12%	40%	38%	9%	-	-
17	WALLER London	19%	47%	28%	6%	-	-
18	GLUCK Ariel	1%	7%	25%	39%	24%	4%
19	CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M.	-	5%	25%	44%	26%	-
20	FUSSY Madelaine	5%	23%	39%	26%	6%	-
21	TESTROET Aubrey	22%	45%	26%	6%	1%	-
22	ALDERFER Katherine	19%	44%	31%	6%	-	-
23	MILLER Sophia	31%	47%	20%	2%	-	-
24	WOODBY Vivienne	5%	25%	42%	24%	4%	-
25	PASSALARIS Joanna M.	34%	46%	17%	2%	-	-
26	HEATH Katy	6%	30%	39%	20%	4%	-
27	BYARS Reagan	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
28	CAMERON Anna	7%	30%	39%	20%	4%	-
29	SECREST Elizabeth	5%	25%	39%	25%	6%	-
30	HIRSCH Lauren	17%	44%	30%	8%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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