Event Results
November Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WINGET William (Bill) D. | V V D V V V | V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | RIPLEY Ian | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | SHOU Phillip | D D V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 3 | SPURGEON William | V D D V V | V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | BRENNEMAN Adam | V V D V V D | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 6 | MILLER Jackson | D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 7 | CRAPNELL Daniel | V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 8 | EROTAS Samuel | D D V D V D | V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 9 | THRASHER Andrew W. | V D V V D D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 10 | KOZINSKI Allison E. | D D V D V | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 11 | ORGAN Jason | V V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 12 | STRYCKER Stanley | D D D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 13 | STRYCKER Kirsten | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |