Texas Challenge

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Alliance Fencing Academy - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
2 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 PEI Claire 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 CHERNIS Liah 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
5 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 100% 92% 58% 9%
6 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
7 HALE Avery 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
8 HARMON Nikkole 100% 95% 65% 24% 3%
9 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
10 DESAI Eesha 100% 89% 48% 13% 1%
11 HOLDEN Helena 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
12 OLSON Olivia 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
13 SHIBLEY Micaela 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
14 VIOLETTE Lih-Ann 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
15 VALDEZ Emma 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
16 YOUNG Nicole 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
17 HUANG Selina 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
18 KELLEY Kelleah 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
19 HALE Reagan 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
20 GUERRERO Sophia 100% 54% 14% 2% -
21 ERIKSEN Isabella 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
22 WEST Vivian 100% 47% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.