The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Rain City Fall RJCC + Div II ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 15, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILLER Braeden G. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
2 LIM Ari - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
3 STRUGAR Marcus A. - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
3 KIM Ian M. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
5 SHAJI Karthik - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
6 LI Nicholas X - 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 CHA Hyungwoo 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
8 MURRY Quinn - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
9 KOEHN Ted - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 13%
10 SKYWARK Andrew - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
11 BERK Theodore - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 JONES Bryan T. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
13 ROSSMAN Brock 13% 45% 32% 9% 1% -
14 ATHOW Nelson 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
15 JIN Honggu 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
16 PORRAS Cristian 1% 10% 34% 36% 16% 2%
17 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
18 SCHWARTZMAN Benjamin 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
18 CHRISTIAN Jonathan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
20 LISONDRA Niko 1% 6% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
21 KIM Jackson - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
22 CHUNG Yeongbin - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
23 GREENBAUM Andrew - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
24 LEE David S. 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
25 BOSELEY Owen 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
26 HSIAO Nicholas 55% 37% 7% 1% - -
27 BIROAN Chaz 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.